Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 70330.874753 74368.213806 78410.401485 82758.092249 87299.105685 91899.051491 96907.898630
2025-04-13 63138.537489 69256.376310 75559.765326 82530.256689 90012.934456 97794.650737 106489.616384
2025-04-20 58937.805080 66541.613336 74553.758281 83605.934747 93528.916971 104055.603549 116046.939590
2025-04-27 55765.319039 64503.383784 73884.751048 84673.624835 96705.167111 109676.497611 124684.320436
2025-05-04 52868.654585 62477.368934 72965.054343 85214.701463 99080.167221 114237.945320 132010.368312
2025-05-11 50112.893455 60393.103990 71783.617221 85275.731725 100753.247591 117884.671556 138209.798729
2025-05-18 47822.574426 58682.627813 70882.651387 85519.618913 102515.201317 121538.421310 144348.090323
2025-05-25 45720.319430 57063.235030 69971.377993 85643.494341 104046.476043 124858.305803 150055.893027
2025-06-01 44378.393176 56254.571664 69929.624809 86713.121569 106621.674003 129345.267203 157097.051493
2025-06-08 42508.073671 54721.560430 68950.106669 86599.863441 107745.013449 132099.044234 162094.009327
2025-06-15 41535.160854 54219.213344 69152.039612 87852.990224 110456.912176 136700.765052 169265.415556
2025-06-22 40380.655997 53437.502689 68968.040708 88599.090993 112531.991971 140534.977332 175532.985011
2025-06-29 38935.835697 52256.040905 68268.019927 88700.857866 113830.158884 143465.018362 180772.498962
2025-07-06 37498.932355 51031.805071 67469.386126 88641.536429 114903.315839 146111.194169 185676.303017
2025-07-13 36755.624013 50652.653176 67691.494177 89822.316481 117483.600405 150579.086178 192800.291262
2025-07-20 36044.585883 50282.266090 67897.901470 90963.094064 120004.505801 154978.511408 199863.236166
2025-07-27 35119.607793 49598.160255 67676.088805 91538.579932 121804.729196 158490.897204 205852.566873
2025-08-03 34019.678874 48645.810134 67076.883256 91603.721196 122941.353444 161172.909032 210821.224474
2025-08-10 33064.047776 47850.604681 66649.862016 91862.273721 124302.506845 164124.206060 216127.958048
2025-08-17 32104.330463 47017.413205 66144.354928 91993.565335 125482.571980 166840.396246 221145.888850
2025-08-24 31609.988919 46792.603482 66419.357826 93126.946873 127941.290114 171167.632249 228202.806619
2025-08-31 30630.707502 45876.514121 65754.774623 93006.947062 128767.926740 173427.715066 232662.673354
2025-09-07 30272.761230 45799.879369 66194.854926 94334.584841 131470.411453 178076.771556 240168.545006